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GFT-Group / Î íàñ / Íîâîñòè êîìïàíèè / Íîâîñòè / Íîâîñòè

Çåìëåòðÿñåíèå â ßïîíèè ñòàëî ïðè÷èíîé ðàëëè öåí íà ïðèðîäíûé ãàç.

Ìèðîâûå öåíû íà ïðèðîäíûé ãàç ðàñòóò íà îïàñåíèÿõ ïîâûøåíèÿ ñïðîñà ñî ñòîðîíû ßïîíèè ïîñëå òîãî, êàê çåìëåòðÿñåíèå â ñòðàíå ïðèâåëî ê ïðèîñòàíîâêå ðàáîòû 11 àòîìíûõ ðåàêòîðîâ, ñîîáùèëî àãåíòñòâî Bloomberg.

 Âåëèêîáðèòàíèè ãàçîâûå êîíòðàêòû ñ ïîñòàâêîé ñëåäóþùåé çèìîé ïîäîðîæàëè íà 7,4% - äî ìàêñèìàëüíîé îòìåòêè ñ íîÿáðÿ 2008 ãîäà è ñîñòàâèëè 74 ïåíñà çà òåðì.  Íüþ-Éîðêå àïðåëüñêèå ôîðâàðäû íà ãàç ïîäîðîæàëè íà 3,8% - äî $4,037 ìëí ÁÒÅ (áðèòàíñêèõ òåïëîâûõ åäèíèö).

"Çàòÿíóâøèåñÿ ðèñêè, ñâÿçàííûå ñ ïðèîñòàíîâêîé ðàáîòû àòîìíûõ ðåàêòîðîâ, ìîãóò ñïîñîáñòâîâàòü ñìåíå êóðñà òàíêåðîâ ñî ñæèæåííûì ïðèðîäíûì ãàçîì íà ßïîíèþ è ïîñòåïåííî ïðèâåñòè ê íåäîñòàòêó ïîñòàâîê ÑÏÃ", - ïîëàãàþò àíàëèòèêè Barclays Plc.

Çåìëåòðÿñåíèå è öóíàìè â ßïîíèè, êîòîðûå ïðîèçîøëè 11 ìàðòà, ïðèâåäóò ê íåîáõîäèìîñòè ðîñòà ñïðîñà ñòðàíû íà àëüòåðíàòèâíûå ýíåðãîíîñèòåëè, ÷òî ïîâëå÷åò ïîâûøåíèå ñïîòîâûõ öåí íà ãàç. ßïîíèÿ ÿâëÿåòñÿ êðóïíåéøèì ìèðîâûì ïîòðåáèòåëåì ÑÏÃ. Ñîãëàñíî äàííûì BP Plc, íà ñòðàíó ïðèøëîñü îêîëî 35% îò îáùåãî îáúåìà èìïîðòà ãàçà â 2009 ãîäó.

 òî æå âðåìÿ, ïî ìíåíèþ ýêñïåðòîâ Barclays, ñëîæèâøàÿ ñèòóàöèÿ îêàæåò ïîääåðæêó öåíàì íà ãàç ÑØÀ ëèøü íà êîðîòêèé ïðîìåæóòîê âðåìåíè, òàê êàê àìåðèêàíñêèé ðûíîê íå ÿâëÿåòñÿ êîíêóðåíòîñïîñîáíûì â ñåêòîðå íåìåäëåííûõ ïîñòàâîê ÑÏÃ.

Ïðîäîëæèòåëüíàÿ ïðèîñòàíîâêà ðàáîòû àòîìíûõ ðåàêòîðîâ â ßïîíèè ìîæåò ñïîñîáñòâîâàòü ïîâûøåíèþ ñïðîñà â ñòðàíå íà ÑÏà íà 5 ìëðä êóáîìåòðîâ â ýòîì ãîäó è åæåãîäíî, íà÷èíàÿ ñ 2012 ãîäà - íà 2 ìëðä êóáîìåòðîâ, ïîëàãàþò ýêñïåðòû Societe Generale SA, êîòîðûå ïîâûñèëè ïðîãíîç öåí íà áðèòàíñêèé ãàç â ýòîì ãîäó íà 8,9% - äî 49 ï/ò. Ïðîãíîç íà 2012 ãîä áûë ïîâûøåí äî 50 ï/ò.

Ñîãëàñíî îæèäàíèÿì UBS AG, ßïîíèÿ ìîæåò ïîâûñèòü åæåãîäíûé ñïðîñ íà ÑÏà íà 12 ìëðä êóáîìåòðîâ â òîì ñëó÷àå, åñëè ðàáîòà 10 àòîìíûõ ðåàêòîðîâ áóäåò îñòàíîâëåíà äî 2012 ãîäà.

Êàòàð, êðóïíåéøèé ýêñïîðòåð ñæèæåííîãî ïðèðîäíîãî ãàçà, óæå çàÿâèë, ÷òî ãîòîâ ïîñòàâèòü â ßïîíèþ ëþáîå êîëè÷åñòâî ÑÏÃ. Èíäîíåçèÿ òàêæå ãîòîâèòñÿ ê óâåëè÷åíèþ ïîñòàâîê ãàçà. Ðîññèéñêàÿ êîìïàíèÿ Sakhalin Energy, îïåðàòîð ïðîåêòà "Ñàõàëèí-2", òàêæå çàÿâèëà, ÷òî ìîæåò óâåëè÷èòü ïîñòàâêè ÑÏà â ßïîíèþ â ñëó÷àå íåîáõîäèìîñòè.

Ïîëèòè÷åñêèå áåñïîðÿäêè íà Áëèæíåì Âîñòîêå è â Ñåâåðíîé Àôðèêå òàêæå ïîääåðæèâàëè â ýòîì ìåñÿöå ðàëëè öåí íà ãàç ïîñëå òîãî, êàê áûëè ïðèîñòàíîâëåíû åãî ïîñòàâêè ÷åðåç ãàçîïðîâîä Greenstream èç Ëèâèè â Èòàëèþ.

Èñòî÷íèê (http://www.finmarket.ru/z/nws/news.asp)

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